Weather Blog

Originally from Port Angeles and an Alum of Astoria High School, Scott graduated from the University of Washington in 1994 with a degree in Atmospheric Sciences and has been producing weather reports for broadcast and on the Web ever since.

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Here's my challenge to you: Take 30 seconds and walk outside.

Here's my challenge to you: Take 30 seconds and walk outside. Outside our studio in Northeast Portland, there is not a cloud in the sky, and it's warm too. It's well worth the effort to get out and soak up this day. Complete forecast.

I guess technically, it's possible. But as I was watching the news this morning getting ready to come to work, I was met by this graphic (above...station/network shall remain nameless, but good sleuths can probably figure it out).

It got me thinking: "We're just 10 (9?) years into the century and we're already spending our 'Storm of the Century' card? What will we call the raging snowstorm that hits the East Coast in 2023? Or 2036? Is anyone really keeping track of this stuff? Isn't this like calling the movie that came out on January 2nd, 'the year's best film!'?"

Anyway, for me and most weather forecasters, the "Storm of the Century" refers to the big East Coast snowstorm of 1993. Apparently in the 20th Century, we had saved up our "Storm of the Century" moniker until closer to the end, then figured we better use it or lest the century go with just 100 years of unnamed storms.

But the storm was worthy of the name, what with snow spread from Canada to northern Florida -- as much as 4" in the Florida panhandle and 6-8" across the south. It also brought deadly tornadoes and incredible winds to Florida and Cuba -- with straight-line gusts as high as 100 mph.

This storm seems like it'll be smaller in scale -- compare the satellite image here of the storm of 1993 with the forecast model for this storm:

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    Punxsutawney Phil, the infamous forecasting groundhog, saw his shadow. For the much of the eastern third of the United States,  that means six more weeks of winter.  For the Pacific Northwest, it means exactly the opposite this year!

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center's February Outlook shows a "bulls-eye" of warmer than normal weather (A stands for above average)over the Pacific Northwest; while the bulls-eye of cooler weather (B means below average...and generally more winter precipitation) is over the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and South.  The distribution of warm and cooler weather follows a typical El Niño pattern.

 

 

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The National Weather Service Portland Office recently issued the annual climate report on Portland's weather for 2009.  You'll find a full version of it and other yearly summaries from other Oregon cities on its Web site: www.wrh.noaa.gov/pqr/.

This yearly report gives meteorologists and weather enthusiasts a chance to reflect back on the year's most talked-about weather events, records and impacts on the region. 

2009 turned out to be a year of extremes, from record-shattering heat last summer to extreme cold snaps and surprising snowfall in December. Overall, average precipitation was lower than normal, while average temperatures skewed slightly warmer.

Here are a few of the weather highlights for last year:

- The new year ushered in a powerful winter storm,  producing heavy rain, flooding and mudslides across the area in January 2009.  Small streams and rivers swelled from Cowlitz to Clackamas counties.

- Strong thunderstorm outbreaks occurred in May and June. On May 2,  thunderstorm activity caused numerous power outages and higher wind gusts to metro Portland-Vancouver. One person was killed when strong wind gusts in S.W. Portland caused a tree to land on their car. Strong thunderstorms in early June brought even higher wind gusts ... including reports of a funnel cloud forming near La Center. The storm produced the highest wind gust of the year at PDX (49 miles per hour. Other weather spotters around town recorded wind gusts as high as 60 miles per hour.

- Record heat took over in the summer.  A record 10 consecutive days of 90 degree heat impacted all local residents. July 27, 28 and 29 stayed above 100 degrees Fahrenheit (103, 106 and 106 degrees respectively) nearly tying Portland's all-time hottest day on record (107 degrees). 

- A rare Oregon coast tornado touched down near Lincoln City at Road's End on Nov. 5. Several decks, and cars were damaged by the small twister.  A similar event occurred near Oregon City in October; cutting about a quarter-mile swatch through trees and out buildings. Both were EF0 tornadoes, lowest on the scale, with winds estimated between 65 to 85 miles per hour.

- We ended the year with an arctic chill that kept an icy grip on the Northwest for six days in early December 2009. Record low temperatures were set at the airport, including the coldest December night in more than 35 years at 12 degrees! And none of us can forget the surprising, evaporative cooling snowfall event on Dec. 29 that literally shut down all transportation in and out of downtown Portland. One to 7 inches of snow fell in less than eight hours.

You may see a peak of sun this week!

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The National Weather Service in Portland has issued a storm warning through 7 a.m. Monday.

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You'll continue to see a lot of national news attention placed on the extremely cold weather back east.

There are two reasons for this: There's always a national news bias that favors East Coast stories, but the other reason is that it is really darn cold.

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The National Weather Service in Portland has issued a high-wind warning for several areas along the Oregon and Washington coasts.

There's also a high-surf advisory for Pacific County, an area a few miles north of Astoria, Ore., in Washington state.

The high-wind warning is in effect from 1 p.m. Monday afternoon to 10 p.m. Monday evening for the Central Oregon, North Oregon, South Washington Coasts.

South winds will increase this afternoon and continue into the evening. Winds will reach 25 to 40 miles per hour at inland areas, with gusts of 60 to 65 miles per hour near beaches and headlands. 

The high-surf advisory is in effect from 4 p.m. to 4 a.m. Tuesday morning for the South Washington and North and Central Oregon Coasts. A strong low pressure system off the coast will cause seas to build to between 20 to 24 feet tonight and impact the surf zone along the coast. The waves will decrease some by Tuesday morning but remain higher than normal for several more days. 

Precautionary/Preparedness Actions:

  • Local power disruptions are possible, so gather up emergency candles and other necessities.
  • A high-wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 miles per hour, or gusts of 58 miles per hour or more, can lead to property damage.
  • A high-surf advisory means that high surf will impact beaches in the advisory area, producing rip currents and localized beach erosion.  Be sure to use caution along the coast this week and stay away from beaches.

 

Recently, I came across this article on researching watersheds. Having lived on a river for the past seven years,  I understand the importance of stewardship in this area.  I am aware that my actions at home can directly affect the quality of the great bodies of water in the Pacific Northwest.  Each one of us knows our home address, but what about our watershed address? Earth Gauge provided the following information...

 

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It snowed in the Portland area and beyond for the first time this season. What started in McMinnville and Wilsonville Tuesday morning had spread to Southwest Washington by Tuesday afternoon.

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A quick note to those read this blog that it's going to go on hiatus for a short while, but it's for a happy reason.

I'm going to be on paternity leave to take care of our newborn, who is scheduled to be delivered by C-Section on Thursday. It'll be our second child.

Hopefully the weather will remain tame in the interim and I'll be back here online on Feb. 1.

In the meantime, Happy Holidays and Happy New Year!

-Scott

Why spend $10,000 on fancy weather equipment when for $30, you can do a decent job of tracking snow and temperature in the mountains?

That's just what Jessica Lundquist is up to at the University of Washington.

As an assistant professor of civil and environmental engineering, she's fashioned together a weather monitoring device using dime-sized temperature sensors, first developed for the refrigerated food industry, and tennis balls. She then uses a dog-ball launcher to send the devices high into the trees where they can record data for up to 11 months.

Read more at uwnews.org

Ever tried surfing a five-story high wave? Some in Hawaii are getting the chance.

Thousands of spectators and surfers are flocking to Hawaii's beaches to see the biggest waves in years crash ashore.

Heavy traffic backed up for miles Monday along roads leading to Oahu's North Shore. Some of the world's most daring surfers took on the powerful and dangerous waves, which forecasters say could reach heights of 50 feet.

The surf grew so large that a few beaches on Oahu and Maui were closed because lifeguards feared inexperienced sightseers could drown, according to state officials.

"After the water comes in, it can drag you back out with it," said Eric Basta, a manager at Surf N Sea in Haleiwa. "Be mindful of how powerful the surf really is."

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Now here is something you don't see every day... probably because it doesn't get this cold around here every day.

Ron and Tina Flaherty found this strange ice formation in their cat's water bowl early Tuesday morning in Port Orchard, where the temperature dropped to 10 degrees. They say there was no dripping water from above -- it was under a covered awning near their sliding glass door.

Magic? Not quite...

These are called "ice spikes". The surface of the bowl of water freezes first, sealing in the water below. As that water begins to freeze, it expands, creating higher pressure under the ice lid. Eventually, the pressure will either cause a small crack or opening in the ice where water will start to dribble out -- sort of like squeezing a tube of toothpaste.

However, as that water squeezes out to the surface, it too freezes. The pattern repeats until this refreezing process creates a spike.

Here are some more photos and a video they took.

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Take a peek at this photo just sent out by the public relations department at the Vail ski resort in Colorado:

Great shot of a sun dog!


 

Sure, November was pretty dog gone windy around here -- what with places like Bellingham and Oak Harbor Washington registering several consecutive hours with gusts over 50 mph during storms in the middle of last month.

Up in Attu Alaska, that would be considered a slight breeze.

A ferocious storm tore through that remote outpost on the western end of the Alaska Aleutian Islands -- a tiny speck you'll barely find on any map out in the middle of the North Pacific.

I was sent these photos from a few people, one from reader Mark Strecker whose brother is one of the lucky ones to be stationed there.  Yes, that says max wind gust of 178 mph -- that's on par with a Category 5 hurricane and more than double the peak winds of our infamous December 2006 "Hanukah Eve" windstorm.   His brother says there are 7-foot storm drifts.

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A ferocious storm took aim at the Northern Oregon and southern Washington coast early Sunday morning with some reported gusts over 80 mph. Here is a collection of storm reports into the National Weather Service.

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It's been an amazing week, which kicked off with thunderstorms and large hail last Friday, and then four wind storms Sunday night through Thursday.

As you might imagine, the skies were dancing quite a bit with all the wind and rain, so I compiled some of the best time lapse videos of the week. Maybe find your iPod and crank up some tunes in your ear buds as you watch the days go by :)

Per usual, these are from Dr. Dale Ireland in Silverdale and the UW Atmospheric Sciences Building.

November 12: (Silverdale:) Read more »

Our army of reporters and photographers all have iPhones to get news stories and breaking news into our newsroom faster, but sometimes, Mother Nature wins.

Take a look at this report Joe English and photographer Tom Agosti tried to file from a jetty overlooking on the viewing platform on the south jetty at the mouth of the Columbia River on Wednesday.

Note to Apple -- the next version needs a boom mic! :)

While this is technically not weather related, a lot of people thing meteorologists deal with meteors, so this blog post will be right up their alley.

According to Spaceweather.com, there was a spectacular fireball that streaked across the western states on Wednesday.

Salt Lake City TV News site KSL.com says a fast-moving meteor lit up the night skies over most of Utah just after midnight Wednesday. Moments later, the phones lit up their switchboard as people across the state called to tell them what they saw and ask what it was.

Professor David Kieda, chair of the University of Utah's astronomy department, told KSL.com the energy of the meteor coming into Earth's atmosphere was so powerful it has to be measured in Terawatts.

"It's almost like the consumption of the United States all at once. It was a fraction of a second," Kieda said.

Here is a collection of videos that came into the station:

 

If this sounds familiar, it might be because a similar event happened here over the Seattle area -- actually twice. Once on June 3, 2004, and again on Feb. 18, 2008.

www.katu.com
The weather didn't cooperate around here for the Leonid Meteor shower early Monday morning, but I did get a request for some photos of it.

Here is a wonderful online gallery from Spaceweather.com.

Our resident photographer Jeff Fogg (of Issaquah) who is working at Antarctica's McMurdo Station continues to send some great photos from way down under.

This past week, the Emperor Penguins have begun to show up and boy are they beautiful. Here are some other photos:

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Some scientists think they can use fractals to greatly improve weather predictions. Read more at NewsScientist.com. (Warning, it is pretty math intensive, for those who fear numbers :) )

Those of you out and about early Monday morning might have been treated to a spectacular sunrise that featured a nice optical display of a sun pillar.

The pillars are caused when the sunlight reflects off ice crystals from clouds high up in the atmosphere. Sure enough, we had some thin cirrostratus and altostratus clouds that had plenty of ice crystals to make this radically awesome effect.

Thanks to Tina Starck for sending in the photo.

WASHINGTON (AP) - The snows of Kilimanjaro may soon be gone.

The African mountain's white peak - made famous by writer Ernest Hemingway - is rapidly melting, researchers report.

Some 85 percent of the ice that made up the mountaintop glaciers in 1912 was gone by 2007, researchers led by paleoclimatologist Lonnie Thompson of Ohio State University report in Tuesday's edition of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

And more than a quarter of the ice present in 2000 was gone by 2007.

If current conditions continue "the ice fields atop Kilimanjaro will not endure," the researchers said. Read more »

Maybe it's just Mother Nature getting in the Halloween spirit.

A new video making the rounds on the Internet shows a spooky looking cloud over Romania:

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